Bam KnightorJordan Mason?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason outscores Bam Knight in 56% of simulations.
Bam Knight still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jordan Mason is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Mason projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Bam Knight has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (11% more than average to RBs); Jordan Mason faces the Detroit Lions (11% fewer than average to RBs). Jordan Mason still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jordan Mason wins 51%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 7.8 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.0 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB34 | RB31 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.5 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 7.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 53% | 64% |
| Trade value | — | — |