Bam KnightorKimani Vidal?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kimani Vidal
Kimani Vidal outscores Bam Knight in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Bam Knight comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Kimani Vidal, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Kimani Vidal faces the Denver Broncos (8% fewer than average to RBs), Bam Knight faces the Detroit Lions (7% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.3
- Ceiling
- 14.6
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 55%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.9 | 6.8 |
| PPR projection | 6.6 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.1 | 6.3 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB33 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.4 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 6% | 35% |
| Trade value | — | — |