Braelon AllenorKimani Vidal?

Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Lean Kimani Vidal

Kimani Vidal outscores Braelon Allen in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Braelon Allen comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Kimani Vidal, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 1.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Kimani Vidal faces the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs), Braelon Allen faces the New England Patriots (11% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Braelon Allen
Floor
1.7
Median
5.1
Ceiling
11.5
Big game (20+):
1%
Dud (under 6):
60%
Kimani Vidal
Floor
1.4
Median
5.8
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
52%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatBraelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ETKimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.07.3
PPR projection6.57.9
Standard projection5.56.8
Rank this weekRB32RB29
Matchupat NEat KC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.26.3
Last season per game3.68.5
Snap share, last game86%42%
Trade value——