Kenny GainwellorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell outscores MarShawn Lloyd in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: MarShawn Lloyd comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Kenny Gainwell, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kenny Gainwell projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Kenny Gainwell faces the Atlanta Falcons (4% more than average to RBs). Kenny Gainwell still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 53%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.6 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB35 |
| Matchup | vs ATL | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| Last season per game | 10.9 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 36% |
| Trade value | — | — |