Kendre MillerorKenny Gainwell?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Kenny Gainwell
Kenny Gainwell outscores Kendre Miller in 63% of simulations.
Kendre Miller still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Kenny Gainwell is the better bet, not a sure thing. Kenny Gainwell projects 2.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Kenny Gainwell has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (15% more than average to RBs); Kendre Miller faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (10% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 9.6
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 70%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.0 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 5.4 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | RB43 | RB30 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.0 | 4.0 |
| Last season per game | 4.4 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 15% |
| Trade value | — | — |