Braelon AllenorKenny Gainwell?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Braelon Allen
Braelon Allen outscores Kenny Gainwell in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kenny Gainwell comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Braelon Allen, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Braelon Allen projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Braelon Allen faces the Miami Dolphins (17% more than average to RBs), Kenny Gainwell faces the Carolina Panthers (15% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Braelon Allen wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 43%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Braelon AllenRB, NYJ, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kenny GainwellRB, TB, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 7.6 |
| PPR projection | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 6.0 |
| Rank this week | RB27 | RB28 |
| Matchup | vs MIA | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 4.0 |
| Last season per game | 3.6 | 10.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 15% |
| Trade value | — | — |