Dylan SampsonorJordan Mason?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Jordan Mason
Jordan Mason outscores Dylan Sampson in 62% of simulations.
Dylan Sampson still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Jordan Mason is the better bet, not a sure thing. Jordan Mason projects 1.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Jordan Mason faces the Buffalo Bills (14% more than average to RBs), Dylan Sampson faces the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Jordan Mason wins 55%; in Standard leagues, Jordan Mason wins 70%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 14.8
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dylan SampsonRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jordan MasonRB, MIN, Mon, Nov 9, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 8.1 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB36 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.4 | 6.9 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | 7.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 28% |
| Trade value | — | — |