Dylan SampsonorOllie Gordon II?
Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II outscores Dylan Sampson in 59% of simulations.
Dylan Sampson still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Ollie Gordon II is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ollie Gordon II projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Dylan Sampson has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (16% more than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Ollie Gordon II still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ollie Gordon II wins 53%; in Standard leagues, Ollie Gordon II wins 67%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 59%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dylan SampsonRB, CLE, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.0 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.6 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB37 |
| Matchup | at NO | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.4 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 56% | 82% |
| Trade value | — | — |