Kendre MillerorOllie Gordon II?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Ollie Gordon II

Ollie Gordon II outscores Kendre Miller in 64% of simulations.

Kendre Miller still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Ollie Gordon II is the better bet, not a sure thing. Ollie Gordon II projects 2.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Kendre Miller has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (1% fewer than average to RBs); Ollie Gordon II faces the Detroit Lions (15% fewer than average to RBs). Ollie Gordon II still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Ollie Gordon II wins 59%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Kendre Miller
Floor
1.4
Median
4.3
Ceiling
9.8
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
69%
Ollie Gordon II
Floor
1.9
Median
6.4
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
47%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatKendre MillerRB, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETOllie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection5.17.5
PPR projection5.77.8
Standard projection4.57.2
Rank this weekRB38RB34
Matchupvs CLEvs DET
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.711.5
Last season per game4.43.0
Snap share, last game39%82%
Trade value——