Devin SingletaryorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 5 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Devin Singletary in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Devin Singletary comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean MarShawn Lloyd, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Devin Singletary projects 0.9 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Devin Singletary has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (5% more than average to RBs); MarShawn Lloyd faces the Chicago Bears (9% fewer than average to RBs). MarShawn Lloyd still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Devin Singletary is the pick at 54%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.0
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 13.3
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 61%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 4.7
- Ceiling
- 9.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Devin SingletaryRB, NYG, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at WAS | vs CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.3 | 5.4 |
| Last season per game | 5.9 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 26% | 55% |
| Trade value | — | — |