Bam KnightorJaydon Blue?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Bam Knight
Bam Knight outscores Jaydon Blue in 56% of simulations.
Jaydon Blue still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Bam Knight is the better bet, not a sure thing. Bam Knight projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jaydon Blue has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (17% more than average to RBs); Bam Knight faces the Los Angeles Rams (10% fewer than average to RBs). Bam Knight still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Bam Knight wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 10.0
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Bam KnightRB, ARI, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | Jaydon BlueRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| PPR projection | 5.7 | 4.5 |
| Standard projection | 4.4 | 4.3 |
| Rank this week | RB36 | RB40 |
| Matchup | at LAR | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 1.6 | — |
| Last season per game | 6.8 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 8% | — |
| Trade value | — | — |