Jaydon BlueorJustice Hill?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Jaydon Blue
Jaydon Blue outscores Justice Hill in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justice Hill comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Jaydon Blue, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Justice Hill projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jaydon Blue has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (17% more than average to RBs); Justice Hill faces the Cleveland Browns (7% fewer than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Jaydon Blue wins 57%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
- Floor
- 0.5
- Median
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 11.6
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaydon BlueRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justice HillRB, BAL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.4 | 4.9 |
| PPR projection | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| Standard projection | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB37 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at CLE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 4.3 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 5.5 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 46% |
| Trade value | — | — |