Jaydon BlueorTyjae Spears?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyjae Spears
Tyjae Spears outscores Jaydon Blue in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jaydon Blue comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tyjae Spears, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tyjae Spears projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Jaydon Blue has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (17% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs). Tyjae Spears still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Tyjae Spears wins 60%; in Standard leagues, Jaydon Blue is the pick at 60%. Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.8
- Median
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 9.5
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 73%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 4.1
- Ceiling
- 10.4
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 69%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jaydon BlueRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 4.4 | 4.8 |
| PPR projection | 4.5 | 6.3 |
| Standard projection | 4.3 | 3.2 |
| Rank this week | RB40 | RB39 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | at IND |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | — | 3.7 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 54% |
| Trade value | — | — |