Dameon PierceorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start MarShawn Lloyd
MarShawn Lloyd outscores Dameon Pierce in 99% of simulations.
Dameon Pierce comes out ahead in the other 1%. MarShawn Lloyd projects 8.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: MarShawn Lloyd faces the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs), Dameon Pierce faces the Carolina Panthers (17% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.3
- Median
- 0.8
- Ceiling
- 1.9
- Big game (20+):
- <1%
- Dud (under 6):
- >99%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dameon PierceRB, PHI, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 1.0 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 1.2 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 0.9 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB62 | RB18 |
| Matchup | vs CAR | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 2.2 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 0.7 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 44% |
| Trade value | — | — |