Chuba HubbardorMarShawn Lloyd?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Chuba Hubbard
Chuba Hubbard outscores MarShawn Lloyd in 62% of simulations.
MarShawn Lloyd still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Chuba Hubbard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chuba Hubbard projects 3.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. MarShawn Lloyd has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (16% more than average to RBs); Chuba Hubbard faces the Philadelphia Eagles (2% more than average to RBs). Chuba Hubbard still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.8
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chuba HubbardRB, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | MarShawn LloydRB, GB, Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | RB14 | RB18 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 18.5 | 7.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.4 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 44% |
| Trade value | 25 | — |