Sean TuckerorTyjae Spears?
Week 4 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Tyjae Spears
Tyjae Spears outscores Sean Tucker in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Sean Tucker comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Tyjae Spears, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sean Tucker projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Sean Tucker has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (12% more than average to RBs); Tyjae Spears faces the Baltimore Ravens (1% more than average to RBs). Tyjae Spears still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Sean Tucker is the pick at 52%. Tyjae Spears is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.2
- Median
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 14.0
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 68%
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 11.2
- Big game (20+):
- 1%
- Dud (under 6):
- 65%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Sean TuckerRB, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyjae SpearsRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| PPR projection | 5.8 | 6.4 |
| Standard projection | 5.2 | 4.0 |
| Rank this week | RB38 | RB40 |
| Matchup | vs GB | at BAL |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | — | 4.0 |
| Last season per game | 5.1 | 6.9 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 47% |
| Trade value | — | — |