Emmett JohnsonorJustice Hill?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Emmett Johnson
Emmett Johnson outscores Justice Hill in 59% of simulations.
Justice Hill still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Emmett Johnson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emmett Johnson projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Emmett Johnson has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs); Justice Hill faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Justice HillRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 6.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 7.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB35 |
| Matchup | at ATL | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 5.7 |
| Last season per game | — | 5.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 52% |
| Trade value | — | — |