Emmett JohnsonorOllie Gordon II?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Ollie Gordon II
Ollie Gordon II outscores Emmett Johnson in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emmett Johnson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Ollie Gordon II, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Ollie Gordon II projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Ollie Gordon II faces the Indianapolis Colts (6% more than average to RBs), Emmett Johnson faces the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 17.1
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 8.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB29 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | — | 3.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | — |