Emmett JohnsonorRachaad White?

Week 9 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Rachaad White

Rachaad White outscores Emmett Johnson in 56% of simulations.

Emmett Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Rachaad White is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emmett Johnson projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Emmett Johnson has the better matchup against the New York Jets (17% more than average to RBs); Rachaad White faces the Los Angeles Rams (12% fewer than average to RBs). Rachaad White still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Emmett Johnson
Floor
1.3
Median
6.2
Ceiling
18.1
Big game (20+):
7%
Dud (under 6):
48%
Rachaad White
Floor
2.6
Median
7.0
Ceiling
14.9
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
41%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatEmmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETRachaad WhiteRB, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.38.1
PPR projection9.69.2
Standard projection7.16.9
Rank this weekRB29RB31
Matchupvs NYJvs LAR
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.39.1
Last season per game—7.2
Snap share, last game19%47%
Trade value——