Jadarian PriceorJustice Hill?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Jadarian Price

Jadarian Price outscores Justice Hill in 56% of simulations.

Justice Hill still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jadarian Price is the better bet, not a sure thing. Justice Hill projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Jadarian Price has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Justice Hill faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jadarian Price
Floor
1.9
Median
5.2
Ceiling
10.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
58%
Justice Hill
Floor
0.7
Median
4.4
Ceiling
14.3
Big game (20+):
4%
Dud (under 6):
62%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ETJustice HillRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.06.2
PPR projection7.27.4
Standard projection4.85.0
Rank this weekRB36RB35
Matchupat LVvs LAC
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game5.35.7
Last season per game—5.5
Snap share, last game36%52%
Trade value——