Chris Rodriguez Jr.orJadarian Price?

Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.

Our call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscores Jadarian Price in 59% of simulations.

Jadarian Price still comes out ahead in the other 41%, so Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jadarian Price has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (14% more than average to RBs); Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the Tennessee Titans (average to RBs). Chris Rodriguez Jr. still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Chris Rodriguez Jr. wins 52%; in Standard leagues, Chris Rodriguez Jr. wins 66%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Chris Rodriguez Jr.
Floor
2.5
Median
6.6
Ceiling
13.7
Big game (20+):
2%
Dud (under 6):
44%
Jadarian Price
Floor
1.9
Median
5.2
Ceiling
10.9
Big game (20+):
<1%
Dud (under 6):
58%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatChris Rodriguez Jr.RB, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETJadarian PriceRB, SEA, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.56.0
PPR projection7.77.2
Standard projection7.24.8
Rank this weekRB32RB36
Matchupat TENat LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game6.55.3
Last season per game7.5—
Snap share, last game45%36%
Trade value——