Justice HillorKimani Vidal?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean Kimani Vidal
Kimani Vidal outscores Justice Hill in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Justice Hill comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Kimani Vidal, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kimani Vidal projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Kimani Vidal faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs), Justice Hill faces the Los Angeles Chargers (5% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 4.4
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 62%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Justice HillRB, BAL, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.2 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.4 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 5.0 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | RB35 | RB33 |
| Matchup | vs LAC | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.7 | 5.5 |
| Last season per game | 5.5 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 52% | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |