Emmett JohnsonorKimani Vidal?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Emmett Johnson
Emmett Johnson outscores Kimani Vidal in 55% of simulations.
Kimani Vidal still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Emmett Johnson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Emmett Johnson projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Emmett Johnson has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (6% more than average to RBs); Kimani Vidal faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.2
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (20+):
- 3%
- Dud (under 6):
- 56%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Emmett JohnsonRB, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Mon, Nov 16, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 7.3 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | RB31 | RB33 |
| Matchup | at ATL | at BAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 5.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 30% | 39% |
| Trade value | — | — |