Rico DowdleorTravis Etienne?
Week 10 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Travis Etienne
Travis Etienne outscores Rico Dowdle in 58% of simulations.
Rico Dowdle still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Travis Etienne is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Etienne projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Etienne faces the Carolina Panthers (19% more than average to RBs), Rico Dowdle faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% more than average to RBs). Travis Etienne is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 6):
- 21%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Rico DowdleRB, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Travis EtienneRB, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 13.2 |
| Standard projection | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | RB17 | RB13 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | Questionable |
| 2026 points per game | 7.6 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 13.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 38% |
| Trade value | 3 | 21 |