Audric EstiméorTony Pollard?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Tony Pollard
Tony Pollard outscores Audric Estimé in 56% of simulations.
Audric Estimé still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tony Pollard is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tony Pollard projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. The matchups don't separate them: Tony Pollard faces the Indianapolis Colts (4% more than average to RBs), Audric Estimé faces the Baltimore Ravens (3% fewer than average to RBs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 40%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 15.8
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Audric EstiméRB, CLE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tony PollardRB, TEN, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 9.2 |
| PPR projection | 9.4 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | RB21 | RB17 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | at IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | — | 7.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.4 | 10.0 |
| Snap share, last game | — | 48% |
| Trade value | — | — |