Blake CorumorDavid Montgomery?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Lean David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores Blake Corum in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Blake Corum comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean David Montgomery, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. David Montgomery projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Blake Corum has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (12% more than average to RBs); David Montgomery faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (23% fewer than average to RBs). David Montgomery still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (20+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 6):
- 49%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Blake CorumRB, LAR, Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 p.m. ET | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 7.1 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB28 |
| Matchup | vs ARI | at JAX |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.0 | 8.4 |
| Last season per game | 7.0 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 27% | 14% |
| Trade value | — | — |