David MontgomeryorKimani Vidal?
Week 6 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start David Montgomery
David Montgomery outscores Kimani Vidal in 56% of simulations.
Kimani Vidal still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so David Montgomery is the better bet, not a sure thing. David Montgomery projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Kimani Vidal has the better matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs (12% fewer than average to RBs); David Montgomery faces the Jacksonville Jaguars (24% fewer than average to RBs). David Montgomery still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 47%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 15.5
- Big game (20+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 6):
- 52%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | David MontgomeryRB, HOU, Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 a.m. ET | Kimani VidalRB, LAC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.8 | 7.3 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 7.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | RB30 | RB34 |
| Matchup | at JAX | at KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.4 | 6.3 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 14% | 42% |
| Trade value | — | — |