Ollie Gordon IIorRhamondre Stevenson?
Week 7 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Rhamondre Stevenson
Rhamondre Stevenson outscores Ollie Gordon II in 55% of simulations.
Ollie Gordon II still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Rhamondre Stevenson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rhamondre Stevenson projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. Ollie Gordon II has the better matchup against the New York Jets (21% more than average to RBs); Rhamondre Stevenson faces the Chicago Bears (10% fewer than average to RBs). Rhamondre Stevenson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 17.2
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 44%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Ollie Gordon IIRB, MIA, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rhamondre StevensonRB, NE, Thu, Oct 22, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.3 | 9.8 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| Standard projection | 7.8 | 8.7 |
| Rank this week | RB23 | RB19 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | at CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 9.5 |
| Last season per game | 3.0 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 60% |
| Trade value | — | 12 |