Chase BrownorJosh Jacobs?
Week 8 start/sit decision, running back versus running back.
Our call
Start Josh Jacobs
Josh Jacobs outscores Chase Brown in 68% of simulations.
Chase Brown still comes out ahead in the other 32%, so Josh Jacobs is the better bet, not a sure thing. Josh Jacobs projects 5.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Josh Jacobs has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (21% more than average to RBs); Chase Brown faces the Tennessee Titans (1% more than average to RBs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Josh Jacobs wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 15.3
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Big game (20+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chase BrownRB, CIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Josh JacobsRB, GB, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.7 | 17.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.0 | 18.5 |
| Standard projection | 9.5 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | RB17 | RB5 |
| Matchup | vs TEN | vs CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 17.6 |
| Last season per game | 14.6 | 14.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 75% | 52% |
| Trade value | 13 | 37 |