Amon-Ra St. BrownorD'Andre Swift?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver or running back.
Our call
Lean D'Andre Swift
D'Andre Swift outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Amon-Ra St. Brown comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean D'Andre Swift, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. D'Andre Swift projects 0.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. D'Andre Swift has the better matchup against the New York Jets (27% more than average to RBs); Amon-Ra St. Brown faces the Carolina Panthers (19% fewer than average to WRs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Amon-Ra St. Brown is the pick at 52%; in Standard leagues, D'Andre Swift wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 14.1
- Ceiling
- 28.6
- Big game (20+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 14.9
- Ceiling
- 28.8
- Big game (20+):
- 30%
- Dud (under 6):
- 8%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Amon-Ra St. BrownWR, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET | D'Andre SwiftRB, CHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 15.9 | 16.8 |
| PPR projection | 19.0 | 18.2 |
| Standard projection | 12.8 | 15.4 |
| Rank this week | WR3 | RB6 |
| Matchup | at CAR | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 21.4 | 17.4 |
| Last season per game | 15.6 | 13.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 74% | 69% |
| Trade value | 60 | 36 |