Chris OlaveorRashee Rice?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Rashee Rice in 56% of simulations.
Rashee Rice still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Chris Olave is the better bet, not a sure thing. Chris Olave projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Chris Olave has the better matchup against the New York Giants (6% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the Los Angeles Chargers (8% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 6.0
- Median
- 13.4
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Big game (20+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 6):
- 10%
- Floor
- 5.3
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 22.3
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 13%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 13.1 |
| PPR projection | 18.2 | 15.9 |
| Standard projection | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR6 | WR10 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.8 | 10.5 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 77% |
| Trade value | 39 | 38 |