Chris OlaveorDeVonta Smith?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores DeVonta Smith in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (3% more than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.9
- Median
- 13.1
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Big game (20+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 25, 9:30 a.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.1 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 17.4 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 10.9 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR12 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.3 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 58% | 66% |
| Trade value | 29 | 16 |