CeeDee LamborDeVonta Smith?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb outscores DeVonta Smith in 56% of simulations.
DeVonta Smith still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so CeeDee Lamb is the better bet, not a sure thing. CeeDee Lamb projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); CeeDee Lamb faces the Philadelphia Eagles (average to WRs). CeeDee Lamb still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 13.3
- Ceiling
- 26.6
- Big game (20+):
- 24%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | CeeDee LambWR, DAL, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.9 | 13.4 |
| PPR projection | 18.5 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | WR7 | WR11 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.8 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 12.6 | 9.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 88% | 66% |
| Trade value | 34 | 14 |