DeVonta SmithorNico Collins?
Week 7 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Nico Collins
Nico Collins outscores DeVonta Smith in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: DeVonta Smith comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Nico Collins, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Nico Collins projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. DeVonta Smith has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (24% more than average to WRs); Nico Collins faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs). Nico Collins still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 11.7
- Ceiling
- 26.3
- Big game (20+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 5.8
- Median
- 12.7
- Ceiling
- 24.1
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 11%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | DeVonta SmithWR, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | Nico CollinsWR, HOU, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.4 | 14.0 |
| PPR projection | 16.5 | 16.6 |
| Standard projection | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | WR10 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | vs NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.0 | 15.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.6 | 12.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 66% | 73% |
| Trade value | 16 | 27 |