Carnell TateorEmeka Egbuka?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Carnell Tate
Carnell Tate outscores Emeka Egbuka in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Carnell Tate, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Dallas Cowboys (26% more than average to WRs); Carnell Tate faces the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs). Carnell Tate still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 18.3
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Thu, Oct 8, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| PPR projection | 12.9 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR23 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 7.2 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 94% |
| Trade value | 11 | 1 |