Jakobi MeyersorMalik Nabers?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Start Malik Nabers

Malik Nabers outscores Jakobi Meyers in 62% of simulations.

Jakobi Meyers still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Malik Nabers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Malik Nabers projects 4.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Jakobi Meyers has the better matchup against the Tennessee Titans (22% more than average to WRs); Malik Nabers faces the Washington Commanders (11% more than average to WRs). Malik Nabers still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Jakobi Meyers
Floor
3.6
Median
8.2
Ceiling
15.5
Big game (20+):
3%
Dud (under 6):
30%
Malik Nabers
Floor
3.3
Median
11.4
Ceiling
27.5
Big game (20+):
22%
Dud (under 6):
25%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETMalik NabersWR, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection9.013.9
PPR projection11.217.1
Standard projection6.810.7
Rank this weekWR33WR8
Matchupat TENvs WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.812.9
Last season per game8.612.0
Snap share, last game68%79%
Trade value—34