Jakobi MeyersorMalik Nabers?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Jakobi Meyers
Jakobi Meyers outscores Malik Nabers in 56% of simulations.
Malik Nabers still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Jakobi Meyers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Malik Nabers projects 0.4 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Malik Nabers has the better matchup against the Arizona Cardinals (6% more than average to WRs); Jakobi Meyers faces the Cincinnati Bengals (13% fewer than average to WRs). Jakobi Meyers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 14.8
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 7.0
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Malik NabersWR, NYG, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.1 |
| PPR projection | 10.6 | 11.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.8 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | WR30 | WR27 |
| Matchup | at CIN | vs ARI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 5.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.6 | 12.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 78% |
| Trade value | 5 | 1 |