Carnell TateorJakobi Meyers?
Week 5 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Jakobi Meyers
Jakobi Meyers outscores Carnell Tate in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Carnell Tate comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Jakobi Meyers, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Carnell Tate projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Carnell Tate has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (2% more than average to WRs); Jakobi Meyers faces the Philadelphia Eagles (6% fewer than average to WRs). Jakobi Meyers still wins more often despite that. Carnell Tate is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.9
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 7%
- Dud (under 6):
- 37%
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 14.5
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Carnell TateWR, TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 6.4 |
| Rank this week | WR25 | WR27 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs PHI |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 82% |
| Trade value | 6 | — |