Caleb DouglasorMike Evans?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Mike Evans
Mike Evans outscores Caleb Douglas in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Caleb Douglas comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Mike Evans, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mike Evans projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Caleb Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs); Mike Evans faces the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs). Mike Evans still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 10.6
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 11.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 14.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 9.6 |
| Rank this week | WR19 | WR16 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | — | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 40% |
| Trade value | 12 | 19 |