Chris OlaveorMike Evans?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Chris Olave
Chris Olave outscores Mike Evans in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Evans comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Chris Olave, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Chris Olave projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Chris Olave faces the New York Giants (5% more than average to WRs). Chris Olave still wins more often despite that. Chris Olave is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.7
- Median
- 12.0
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Big game (20+):
- 18%
- Dud (under 6):
- 20%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 18%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Chris OlaveWR, NO, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.2 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 16.3 | 14.8 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | WR9 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs WAS |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.8 | 12.9 |
| Last season per game | 13.6 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 63% |
| Trade value | 38 | 19 |