Deebo Samuel Sr.orRashee Rice?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Rashee Rice
Rashee Rice outscores Deebo Samuel Sr. in 64% of simulations.
Deebo Samuel Sr. still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Rashee Rice is the better bet, not a sure thing. Rashee Rice projects 3.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (9% more than average to WRs); Rashee Rice faces the New York Jets (4% fewer than average to WRs). Rashee Rice still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 28%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 12.4
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (20+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 6):
- 12%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Rashee RiceWR, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.3 | 13.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.2 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.3 | 10.6 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR9 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 11.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 15.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 57% |
| Trade value | 7 | 40 |