Deebo Samuel Sr.orEmeka Egbuka?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Deebo Samuel Sr.
Deebo Samuel Sr. outscores Emeka Egbuka in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Emeka Egbuka comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Deebo Samuel Sr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Deebo Samuel Sr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Emeka Egbuka has the better matchup against the Green Bay Packers (5% more than average to WRs); Deebo Samuel Sr. faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs). Deebo Samuel Sr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 18.6
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET | Emeka EgbukaWR, TB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 11.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.0 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | WR23 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.8 | 8.8 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 74% |
| Trade value | 13 | 3 |