Deebo Samuel Sr.orGarrett Wilson?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Start Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Deebo Samuel Sr. in 58% of simulations.
Deebo Samuel Sr. still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Garrett Wilson is the better bet, not a sure thing. Garrett Wilson projects 2.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Deebo Samuel Sr. has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the New England Patriots (4% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Deebo Samuel Sr.WR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 12.8 |
| PPR projection | 12.8 | 15.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.6 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR12 |
| Matchup | vs WAS | at NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 14.2 |
| Last season per game | 9.5 | 11.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 43% | 93% |
| Trade value | 10 | 32 |