Garrett WilsonorMike Evans?
Week 6 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Garrett Wilson
Garrett Wilson outscores Mike Evans in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Evans comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Garrett Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Garrett Wilson projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Mike Evans has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (17% more than average to WRs); Garrett Wilson faces the New England Patriots (4% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.3
- Median
- 11.3
- Ceiling
- 23.3
- Big game (20+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
- Floor
- 4.6
- Median
- 11.1
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 17%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike EvansWR, SF, Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.8 | 12.4 |
| PPR projection | 15.5 | 14.8 |
| Standard projection | 10.0 | 10.0 |
| Rank this week | WR12 | WR13 |
| Matchup | at NE | vs WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.2 | 12.9 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | 8.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 63% |
| Trade value | 32 | 20 |