Garrett WilsonorKC Concepcion?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean KC Concepcion
KC Concepcion outscores Garrett Wilson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Garrett Wilson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean KC Concepcion, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. KC Concepcion projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: KC Concepcion faces the Houston Texans (average to WRs), Garrett Wilson faces the Buffalo Bills (2% fewer than average to WRs). Garrett Wilson is listed as questionable.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 0.0
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.2
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 34%
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.5
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Garrett WilsonWR, NYJ, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 9.9 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 7.7 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR23 |
| Matchup | vs BUF | vs HOU |
| Injury | Questionable | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 7.8 |
| Last season per game | 11.6 | — |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 93% |
| Trade value | 15 | 6 |