KC ConcepcionorMatthew Golden?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Matthew Golden
Matthew Golden outscores KC Concepcion in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: KC Concepcion comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Matthew Golden, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Matthew Golden projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. KC Concepcion has the better matchup against the Houston Texans (average to WRs); Matthew Golden faces the Minnesota Vikings (22% fewer than average to WRs). Matthew Golden still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 19.6
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 32%
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 19.0
- Big game (20+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | KC ConcepcionWR, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Matthew GoldenWR, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.9 | 10.4 |
| PPR projection | 12.1 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.6 | 8.3 |
| Rank this week | WR24 | WR21 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.8 | 15.3 |
| Last season per game | — | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 74% |
| Trade value | 8 | 24 |