Jakobi MeyersorMichael Wilson?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Jakobi Meyers in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Jakobi Meyers comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Jakobi Meyers has the better matchup against the Baltimore Ravens (14% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Seattle Seahawks (24% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.4
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 14.7
- Big game (20+):
- 2%
- Dud (under 6):
- 33%
- Floor
- 2.3
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 19.3
- Big game (20+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 6):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Jakobi MeyersWR, JAX, Thu, Nov 5, 8:15 p.m. ET | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.5 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 11.9 |
| Standard projection | 6.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | WR26 | WR23 |
| Matchup | at BAL | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.7 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.6 | 10.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 79% |
| Trade value | — | 20 |