Michael WilsonorStefon Diggs?
Week 4 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Michael Wilson in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Stefon Diggs projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Stefon Diggs faces the Indianapolis Colts (15% more than average to WRs), Michael Wilson faces the New York Giants (11% more than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 9.8
- Ceiling
- 23.2
- Big game (20+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 6):
- 30%
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 10.5
- Ceiling
- 21.0
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| PPR projection | 14.5 | 14.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.7 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | WR15 | WR14 |
| Matchup | at NYG | vs IND |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.4 | 12.7 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 59% |
| Trade value | 15 | 15 |