Michael WilsonorStefon Diggs?
Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Michael Wilson
Michael Wilson outscores Stefon Diggs in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Stefon Diggs comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Michael Wilson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Michael Wilson projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Stefon Diggs has the better matchup against the New York Giants (3% more than average to WRs); Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs). Michael Wilson still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 9.2
- Ceiling
- 21.1
- Big game (20+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Michael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.7 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 12.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.1 | 7.9 |
| Rank this week | WR20 | WR24 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | at NYG |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Last season per game | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 61% |
| Trade value | 15 | 8 |