George PickensorMichael Wilson?

Week 10 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.

Our call

Lean George Pickens

George Pickens outscores Michael Wilson in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Michael Wilson comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean George Pickens, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Both project 10.7 half-PPR points in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: George Pickens faces the San Francisco 49ers (5% fewer than average to WRs), Michael Wilson faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs). George Pickens is listed as questionable.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

George Pickens
Floor
0.0
Median
9.4
Ceiling
20.8
Big game (20+):
11%
Dud (under 6):
29%
Michael Wilson
Floor
2.6
Median
9.2
Ceiling
21.1
Big game (20+):
12%
Dud (under 6):
31%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatGeorge PickensWR, DAL, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ETMichael WilsonWR, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection10.710.7
PPR projection12.913.3
Standard projection8.58.1
Rank this weekWR19WR20
Matchupvs SFvs LAR
InjuryQuestionableNone
2026 points per game10.610.6
Last season per game14.410.7
Snap share, last game57%83%
Trade value2515