Caleb DouglasorStefon Diggs?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Caleb Douglas
Caleb Douglas outscores Stefon Diggs in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Stefon Diggs comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Caleb Douglas, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Caleb Douglas projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Caleb Douglas has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (18% more than average to WRs); Stefon Diggs faces the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.3
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Big game (20+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Caleb DouglasWR, MIA, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.2 | 12.6 |
| Standard projection | 9.6 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | WR16 | WR20 |
| Matchup | vs DET | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 11.5 |
| Last season per game | — | 9.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 65% |
| Trade value | 14 | 16 |