Stefon DiggsorTetairoa McMillan?
Week 9 start/sit decision, wide receiver versus wide receiver.
Our call
Lean Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs outscores Tetairoa McMillan in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tetairoa McMillan comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Stefon Diggs, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tetairoa McMillan projects 0.2 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Stefon Diggs has the better matchup against the Los Angeles Rams (5% fewer than average to WRs); Tetairoa McMillan faces the Denver Broncos (15% fewer than average to WRs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 9.1
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (20+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 6):
- 26%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 8.9
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (20+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 6):
- 31%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Stefon DiggsWR, WAS, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tetairoa McMillanWR, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| PPR projection | 12.6 | 12.9 |
| Standard projection | 8.0 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | WR17 | WR15 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.5 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.9 | 10.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 65% | 89% |
| Trade value | 14 | 22 |